Electricity Demand Projection in Kalimantan Island Considering the Nusantara Capital (IKN) Development Plan

Authors

  • Nuryanti The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie
  • Elok S. Amitayani The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.
  • Citra Candranurani The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.
  • Nurlaila The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.
  • Ewitha Nurulhuda The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.
  • Yohanes Dwi Anggoro The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie
  • Suparman The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.

Keywords:

proyeksi, permintaan listrik, analisis regresi, Kalimantan, IKN, projection, electricity demand, regression analysis, Kalimantan, IKN

Abstract

This study develops a model for forecasting electricity demand in the Kalimantan Island by considering the plan to build the IKN. Projections based on regression analysis are carried out for the West Kalimantan, Central & South Kalimantan and East & North Kalimantan region, while for the IKN the projection was based on the assumption of electricity consumption per capita. Variables that greatly influence the electricity demand based on the data analysis are GRDP, GRDP per capita, number of customers and electricity tariff. The projection result shows that the electricity demand in the Kalimantan Island with the construction of IKN area will increase from 12,542.20 GWh in 2022 to 147,639.96 GWh in 2060. In terms of the percentage of electricity sold per sector, there has been a significant decrease trend in the Household sector and a significant increase trend in the Industrial and Business sector.

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Author Biographies

Nuryanti, The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie

The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie

Elok S. Amitayani, The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.

The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.

Citra Candranurani, The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.

The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.

Nurlaila, The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.

The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.

Ewitha Nurulhuda, The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.

The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.

Yohanes Dwi Anggoro, The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie

The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie

Suparman, The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.

The Center for Nuclear Reactor Technology Research (PRTRN), Nuclear Technology Research Organization (ORTN) – National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN). KST. B.J. Habibie.

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Published

2023-12-13

How to Cite

Nuryanti, Elok S. Amitayani, Citra Candranurani, Nurlaila, Ewitha Nurulhuda, Yohanes Dwi Anggoro, & Suparman. (2023). Electricity Demand Projection in Kalimantan Island Considering the Nusantara Capital (IKN) Development Plan. Prosiding Seminar Nasional Teknoka, 8, 9–19. Retrieved from https://journal.uhamka.ac.id/index.php/teknoka/article/view/13786